Bounding the efficiency of road pricing

This paper deals with the following question associated with congestion pricing in a general network with either fixed or elastic travel demand: what is the maximum efficiency loss of a general second-best pricing scheme due to inexact marginal-cost pricing in comparison with the first-best pricing or system optimum case? A formal answer to this question is provided by establishing an inefficiency bound associated with a given road pricing scheme. An application of the methods is provided for the practical trial-and-error implementation of marginal-cost pricing with unknown demand functions

Adaptive traffic signal control using approximate dynamic programming

This paper presents a study on an adaptive traffic signal controller for real-time operation. The controller aims for three operational objectives: dynamic allocation of green time, automatic adjustment to control parameters, and fast revision of signal plans. The control algorithm is built on approximate dynamic programming (ADP). This approach substantially reduces computational burden by using an approximation to the value function of the dynamic programming and reinforcement learning to update the approximation. We investigate temporal-difference learning and perturbation learning as specific learning techniques for the ADP approach. We find in computer simulation that the ADP controllers achieve substantial reduction in vehicle delays in comparison with optimised fixed-time plans. Our results show that substantial benefits can be gained by increasing the frequency at which the signal plans are revised, which can be achieved conveniently using the ADP approach

Scoping study of the feasibility of developing a software tool to assist designers of pedestrian crossing places

This report is the outcome of a scoping study of how guidance can be provided for practising highway engineers in designing informal pedestrian crossing facilities. The main component of this report is an analysis by an IT consultant of a range of mechanisms for delivery of this. The study was informed by the opinions of a group of practitioners who have a direct interest in the provision of pedestrian facilities. These results are placed in context and their consequences are explored in the first part of the report

On the treatment of repeated observations in panel data: efficiency of mixed logit parameter estimates

Travel demand models are often estimated using cross-sectional data. Although the use of panel data has recently increased in many areas, there are still many aspects that have not been analyzed fully. Some examples of unexplored topics are: the optimal length of panel surveys and the resulting issue of how to model panel data correctly in the presence of repeated observations (for example, several trips per week, by people in a panel with waves every six months) and whether, and to what extent, this affects the efficiency of the estimated parameters and their capability to replicate the true situation. In this paper we analyse this issue and test the effect of including journeys made, with the same characteristics, several times in a week. A broad variety of models accounting for fixed parameters but also for random heterogeneity and correlation among individuals were estimated using each of real and synthetic data. The real data come from the Santiago Panel (2006-2008), while the synthetic data were appropriately generated to examine the same problem in a controlled experiment. Our results show that having more observations per individual increases the probability of capturing effects (different types of heterocedasticity), but having identical observations in a data panel reduces the capability to reproduce true phenomena. Consequently, the definition of panel survey duration requires us to consider the implicit level of routine that is present as represented in the proportion of identical observations

Inertia and shock effects on mode choice panel data: implications of the Transantiago implementation

The mode choice process, especially in the case of commuter trips, reflects the strong tendency people have to simplify the assessment of their options when confronted with successive well-known decisions. Thus, it is common to repeat the “habitual” choice over time involving a potentially important inertia element. However, while inertia effects increase the probability of maintaining the same choice in a stable situation, in a changing environment i.e. one that is disrupted by a radical or significant policy intervention, user behaviour may be affected by a specific response to abrupt changes. Shock effects of this kind could increase the probability of individuals leaving their habitual choices. Temporal effects have been commonly ignored in practical studies, as most demand models to date have been based on cross-sectional data. A few recent studies dealing with panel data have managed to incorporate inertia effects, but there are no studies that have included both inertia and shock effects. To address this, we started by building a data panel around the introduction of a new and radical policy for the conurbation of Santiago de Chile. The final aim was to develop mode choice models incorporating the effects of three main forces involved in the choice process: (1) the relative values of the modal attributes, (2) the inertia effect, and (3) the shock resulting from and abrupt policy intervention. This paper presents the formulation of an inertia-shock model and its application to each of simulated and real data. The results confirm that changing systems should be modelled respecting the presence of both inertia and shock effects, otherwise serious errors in model estimation may arise

Consistent objectives and solution of dynamic user equilibrium models

The aim of this paper is to establish that there exist suitable objective functions for mathematical programming formulations of dynamic user equilibrium assignment in the sense of Wardrop (1952). Recently, Lin and Lo (2000) showed that we cannot necessarily calculate a dynamic user equilibrium assignment by minimising the integral over time of Beckmann's objective function that is widely used to solve for static user equilibrium assignment. In the present paper, two distinct objective functions are presented that result from formulations of assignment either as a variational inequality or as an infinitesimal optimisation: each of these formulations can be solved as a forward dynamic programme. With these formulations and solution approaches, we solve an example based upon Lin and Lo's one correctly.

Seed research for improved technologies Pesquisa para o aprimoramento de tecnologia de sementes

The production of high-quality seed is the basis for a durable a profitable agriculture. After production, seed is processed, conditioned, stored, shipped and germinated. For quality assurance, seed quality has to be controlled at all steps of the production chain. Seed functioning is accompanied by programmed transitions from cell proliferation to quiescence upon maturation and from quiescence to reinitiation of cellular metabolism upon imbibition. Despite the obvious importance of these control mechanisms, very little information is available at the molecular level concerning those elements that regulate seed germination. In the present study, the induction of cell cycle activity and the regulation of ß-tubulin expression is related to the water content and other physical properties of the seed.<br>A produção de sementes de alta qualidade é a base para uma agricultura produtiva. Após a colheita, a semente é beneficiada, embalada, armazenada, transportada e semeada. Para maior segurança, tanto dos produtores como dos consumidores, a qualidade da semente deve ser mantida sob controle em todas as fases do processo de produção. O desempenho da semente é resultado de transições programadas desde a divisão celular até a quiescência, durante a maturação, e da quiescência até o reinicio do metabolismo celular, durante a embebição. Apesar da importância destes mecanismos de controle, há pouca informação disponível, a nível molecular, no que diz respeito aos elementos que regulam a germinação da semente. No presente trabalho, a indução do ciclo de atividade celular e a regulação da expressão de ß-tubulina são relacionadas ao grau de umidade e a outras propriedades físicas da semente